The Climate Brink

Keep it in the ground?

When the politics of affordability meet the needs of climate mitigation

Jan 5 • Zeke Hausfather

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The Climate Brink 2025 wrap-up

The biggest stories of 2025 and a few predictions for 2026

Jan 1 • Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather

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December 2025

My 2026 and 2027 global temperature forecasts

The best thing about predicting the near future is you don't need to wait long to be wrong

Dec 20, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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TCB quick hit: How climate change broke the Pacific Northwest’s plumbing

It’s not just wetter storms—it’s also the important shift from snow to rain

Dec 15, 2025 • Andrew Dessler

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Comparing climate models with observations

The latest generation of climate models shows too much long-term warming but better reproduces recent trends

Dec 6, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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November 2025

Cook like a physicist

Assume your turkey is a sphere of water ...

Nov 27, 2025 • Andrew Dessler

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Consensus machines

Will the AI future inadvertently recenter expertise?

Nov 24, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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You have 100 'energy slaves'

They pump your water, toast your bread, and move your car: Understanding the 'embedded energy' that powers our modern lives.

Nov 18, 2025 • Andrew Dessler

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Exploring newly released estimates of current policy warming

The world still seems on track for below 3C this century, though large uncertainties remain

Nov 14, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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On the Gates climate memo

There is a lot of things I agree with in Bill Gates’ new memo on climate change, but I think it fundamentally sets up a false dichotomy.

Nov 5, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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Super pollutants are trendy, but we should be careful how we use them

Substituting short lived climate pollutants like methane for CO2 as carbon offsets risks breaking the math of net zero

Nov 3, 2025 • Zeke Hausfather

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October 2025

Warming Worries of a Once-Doubtful Climate Scientist

Mike Wallace says reality is bad enough. Catastrophe-versus-hoax framing obscures the momentous dangers from unabated greenhouse-gas heating.

Published on Sustain What • Oct 15, 2025