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My 2026 and 2027 global temperature forecasts
The best thing about predicting the near future is you don't need to wait long to be wrong
Dec 20
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Zeke Hausfather
65
30
8
TCB quick hit: How climate change broke the Pacific Northwest’s plumbing
It’s not just wetter storms—it’s also the important shift from snow to rain
Dec 15
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Andrew Dessler
159
101
21
Comparing climate models with observations
The latest generation of climate models shows too much long-term warming but better reproduces recent trends
Dec 6
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Zeke Hausfather
70
72
12
November 2025
Cook like a physicist
Assume your turkey is a sphere of water ...
Nov 27
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Andrew Dessler
43
11
7
Consensus machines
Will the AI future inadvertently recenter expertise?
Nov 24
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Zeke Hausfather
54
25
7
You have 100 'energy slaves'
They pump your water, toast your bread, and move your car: Understanding the 'embedded energy' that powers our modern lives.
Nov 18
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Andrew Dessler
164
104
26
Exploring newly released estimates of current policy warming
The world still seems on track for below 3C this century, though large uncertainties remain
Nov 14
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Zeke Hausfather
87
66
10
On the Gates climate memo
There is a lot of things I agree with in Bill Gates’ new memo on climate change, but I think it fundamentally sets up a false dichotomy.
Nov 5
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Zeke Hausfather
107
100
21
Super pollutants are trendy, but we should be careful how we use them
Substituting short lived climate pollutants like methane for CO2 as carbon offsets risks breaking the math of net zero
Nov 3
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Zeke Hausfather
74
24
10
October 2025
Warming Worries of a Once-Doubtful Climate Scientist
Mike Wallace says reality is bad enough. Catastrophe-versus-hoax framing obscures the momentous dangers from unabated greenhouse-gas heating.
Published on Sustain What
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Oct 15
Most of the world has recently set all-time heat records
Regional exceptions like the 1930s in the continental US notwithstanding
Oct 6
•
Zeke Hausfather
94
39
18
Is this the most embarrassing error in the DOE Climate Working Group Report?
mistaking detection for emergence
Oct 2
•
Andrew Dessler
72
82
11
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