Archive - The Climate Brink

The Worst Case Is Still on the Table

Why removing RCP8.5 from the National Climate Assessment would be a serious mistake

Sep 4 • Andrew Dessler

August 2026

What we can and cannot say about climate change and the Nepal disaster

Formal attribution is premature, but the collapse happened on a rapidly warming mountain in a valley losing its ice

Aug 28 • Zeke Hausfather

Is this El Niño a glimpse of a future, hotter Earth?

There are important differences between long-term global warming and El Niño warming

Aug 17 • Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather

♫ Smoke Gets in Your Eyes ♫

and your lungs, your blood stream, your brain, just about everywhere

Aug 12 • Andrew Dessler

The real energy use of agentic AI

Agents use about 600x more energy than simple AI prompts

Aug 5 • Zeke Hausfather

Fixing one of climate’s worst plots

the 1930s were hot over the U.S. Midwest, but not that hot

Aug 3 • Andrew Dessler

July 2026

Why Hansen may end up being right about 2026

Whether 2026 sets a new record is increasingly likely to be a split decision between different groups

Jul 30 • Zeke Hausfather

Wildfires are remaking the world

With great sorrow, we watch as the Earth is rebuilt into a different, warmer planet.

Jul 29 • Andrew Dessler

Raw Data, Wrong Answers

What happens to the 1930s temperature record after correcting measurement biases and station coverage

Jul 27 • Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather

Hot days, cold thermometers

Why a viral graph on US days above 95F is misleading and overstates regional warmth

Jul 22 • Zeke Hausfather

Canada's boreal wildfires aren't just bad forest management

Higher fire season temperatures are strongly correlated with increased area burned

Jul 17 • Zeke Hausfather

The Strongest El Niño Ever

With all the July runs in, dynamical models give a ~90% chance of a record-setting event

Jul 13 • Zeke Hausfather

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