Let's hope you and Hansen are both wrong about 2027, otherwise it could be the hottest year on record.
And now for the good news, Science named the growth of renewables their Breakthrough for 2025. https://www.science.org/content/article/breakthrough-2025 . It will be the first year that world-wide renewable generation exceeded coal generation.
Favorite quote from the editorial, "China will have abundant amounts of renewable energy for data centers, with fossil fuels as a backup. Meanwhile, the US marches boldly backward toward the past."
Thank you for your projection! I have a question about climate models in general. They look at the past and project. Whether paleo or recent decades averages. My question is, "Are the current Earth climate dynamics included or weighed heavily?" A lot has changed the last 50 years ( carbon sink to source and Earth dumming ) and maybe with the more recent changes should be weighted more?
All the attention goes to Global Mean Surface temperature, although the radiative imbalance is mostly heating the oceans, because that is where the accessible heat capacity is. Shouldn’t Ocean Heat Content get more attention? Since its rise is steady, predicting 2026 and 2027 is easy.
Let's hope you and Hansen are both wrong about 2027, otherwise it could be the hottest year on record.
And now for the good news, Science named the growth of renewables their Breakthrough for 2025. https://www.science.org/content/article/breakthrough-2025 . It will be the first year that world-wide renewable generation exceeded coal generation.
Favorite quote from the editorial, "China will have abundant amounts of renewable energy for data centers, with fossil fuels as a backup. Meanwhile, the US marches boldly backward toward the past."
Zeke,
Thank you for your projection! I have a question about climate models in general. They look at the past and project. Whether paleo or recent decades averages. My question is, "Are the current Earth climate dynamics included or weighed heavily?" A lot has changed the last 50 years ( carbon sink to source and Earth dumming ) and maybe with the more recent changes should be weighted more?
All the attention goes to Global Mean Surface temperature, although the radiative imbalance is mostly heating the oceans, because that is where the accessible heat capacity is. Shouldn’t Ocean Heat Content get more attention? Since its rise is steady, predicting 2026 and 2027 is easy.
And the solution is...